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What Every Citizen Should Know About Our Planet
 
2011 Edition
 
A u g u s t   A n s o n
 
 
Light years better than Beyond Six Billion
 
 
Ecology, thresholds, tipping points, limiting factors, feedback loops,
overpopulation, conservation biology, and planetary carrying capacity

 
Targeting policymakers, scholars, educators, students, conservationists, the general public, and citizens everywhere

 
See navigation bar for PowerPoints
and PDF excerpts
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
Arguably, the two graphs below may depict
THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT DATA SET
in the history of our species

Human Population Growth - 8000 B.C. to 2100 A.D.
mediumprojections.jpg
Click image to enlarge graph

 
 
 
 
 
 
Notice that beginning with a worldwide population of two billion in 1930,
 we reached seven billion late in 2011.


Five additional billions in a single human lifetime

 
 and we are on-track to add still more billions
(numbers eight and nine) by 2041,
and U.N. medium-fertility models project more
than 10 billion by the close of this century...
 
 
 

Notice that our data sets show that virtually all
of our growth has occurred since 1800 and

we are currently adding an additional billion
to our numbers every twelve to fifteen years.

 
 
 
 
 
 
.
 
 
 

 
 
 
And the real-world numbers that could emerge may actually be VERY much higher,
 
 

15.8 Billion by 2100? - And notice the J-curve
unhighfertilityprojection.jpg
Click image to enlarge

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
for if worldwide fertility rates average just 1/2 child per woman higher than the U.N.'s "medium-fertility" projections, we will find ourselves on-track toward 15.8 BILLION by 2100 (these latter numbers are depicted in the graph shown left)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Notice that both graphs depicted above are quite-pronounced J-curves
 
 
 
 
Thus, despite an unwarranted complacency among many, humanity's central problems today include, among other things, (a) the impending arrival of our 7th, 8th, and 9th billions by 2041, as well billion number 10 (and/or 11, 12, 13, 14, and/or 15.8 by the end of this century, along with (b) the extreme levels of overpopulation and environmental impacts that we already exhibit.

As a result, a continuation of today's demographic tidal wave may
constitute
the greatest single risk that our species has ever undertaken

Scientists, students, mathematicians, educators, other scholars,
and policymakers might note that the both graphs on this page
suggest that we may well be living through

the closing phases of an exponential progression
It might also be noted that the graph below bears a striking similarity to
a graph of the fission events that took place inside the nuclear
detonation that destroyed Hiroshima, Japan at the close of World War II
 
 

 

J-curve
exponential_2b.jpg

 
 
 
 
 
Each day there are approximately 380,683 births that take place somewhere around the world.   During the same twenty-four hours, there are approximately 153,653 deaths


Which means that despite a prevailing sense of complacency seen in some economic and political circles, world population now grows larger by approximately 227,000 extra persons per day



(After World Population Data Sheet 2009,
Populatiion Reference Bureau).

 

 

 

Sample implications?

If today is Friday, by this same time on Monday, earth will
be home to more than
681,000 additional persons.
 
 
(Hopefully, someone, somewhere, is planning to
grow a lot of extra food over the weekend.)

 

 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
If today is Monday, by this same time
on Friday, earth will be home to more
than  908,000  additional persons.
 
 
At this rate of new arrivals, society must complete more
than
36,320 additional classrooms
every four days
 
 
with, presumably, a price to
be paid if they are not built.
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 


M. Arman Publishing
P.O. Box 785  
Oak Hill, FL 32759

Voice: 386-673-5576
Fax:   386-951-1101
 
 
 
 

wecskaopcover.jpg

 
There exists a specific repertoire of information that every citizen should know about our planet which Wecskaop's chapters present and key components of which are sampled on this website and itemized in its appendices.
 
 
 
 
Today we operate our societies on the presumption that the functioning of natural systems is a given.  Such assumptions are no longer warranted under current conditions of population growth.
 
 
 
 
 
A SAMPLING FROM WECSKAOP:
 
     Beyond Six Billion...
          Food may not be our first worry...
               Stoplights and twisting mountain roads...
                    Why Brazil's 10% is not enough...
                          The Age of Overpopulation...
                                 The fallacy of the agricultural maximum...
                                            A descent into chaos...
 
 
 
 
                    "Brilliant"...     "...compelling"     "...a must read"
 
                              - reviewer Frosty Wooldridge -
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
For four downloadable presentations on
these topics, click the links below:
 
 
 
 

World population - Key demographics and biospherics

.
 
.

Ecosystem Services and Biospheric Machinery

.
 
.

Population crises in seemingly "empty" environments?

.
 
.

Thin films - Earth's Atmosphere and Seas

 
 
 
.

Presentaciones En Espanol

 
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The Wecskaop Project
 
Our articles and presentations are entirely free for non-commercial
use by scientists, students, and educators anywhere in the world
 
 
 
 
 
Click the cover image below to access
What Every Citizen Should Know About Our Planet
and its preface, excerpts, and table of contents
 
 

wecskaop_iii.jpg
Click image to visit preface and excerpts

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
THE WECSKAOP PROJECT
What Every Citizen Should Know About Our Planet

 

 


Providing science, environment, sustainability, and distance-learning resources
for use by scientists, students, and educattors anywhere in the world

 

 

 
 

 
Department chairs and Librarians
ISBN 978-0-933078-18-8
University, Library, and Educational Discounts Available
 
 
 
 
 

M. Arman Publishing
P.O. Box 785    Oak Hill, FL 32759
Voice: 386-673-5576    Fax: 386-951-1101
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Copyright 2011, Randolph Femmer.
All  rights reserved.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
.....